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THE DAO WAYBEHAVIORAL MARKET INTELLIGENCE

TRUST / DAO SYSTEM

How to test a trading hypothesis

Define a rule, comparison and limitations in advance. Keep observations distinct from findings.

Question and scope

Write down the testable claim, market, assets, period, sampling frequency and target outcome before inspecting a result. Specify what observation would falsify the hypothesis.

Comparison and reproducibility

Define a baseline, event-selection rules, missing-data handling and costs. Record method version and data provenance. Separate rule development from independent evaluation.

Results with limitations

Report sample size, uncertainty and sensitivity to assumptions. Insufficient data leaves the question open. Correlation does not establish causation; a descriptive pattern needs a separate test before it can be treated as predictive.

What is available now

This is the proposed public-page standard, not a claim that every internal study already satisfies it. Findings require review of provenance, rights, methodology, content and publication approval.

How to test a trading hypothesis: DAO methodology | DAO SYSTEM